Monday, August 10, 2026last session: Fri Aug 7
VIX15.2−4.2%S&P 5007,758+0.6%Nasdaq26,691+1.3%Dow54,037+0.3%HY271 bp−4 bp10y–2y46 bp+2 bpUST 10y4.69%+6 bpDollar119.7+0.0%EUR/USD1.156−0.0%WTI78.2+1.2%Brent83.6+1.3%BTC64,886+1.0%ETH1,913+0.6%
SemavorThe world economy, every day
Session regime
RISK-ON

No high-severity alerts. The VIX term structure remains in contango: the market is not pricing imminent stress.

Wall Street rises with Nasdaq leading as VIX falls to 15.2

A risk-on session with the Nasdaq leading gains (+1.30%) and the VIX falling to 15.2, against a backdrop of compressed credit spreads and a yield curve showing no inversion signals. The main point to watch is the widening Brent-WTI spread above its historical median, alongside the more negative turn in the S&P 500-oil correlation.

Read the full report read 3 min · session of Sat Aug 8
US inflation
3.7% year over year

US CPI, year over year. Details in the weekly analysis.

Employment
4.2% unemployment · +57k

US unemployment rate and monthly payroll growth (nonfarm payrolls).

Rate path
3.63% Fed · ECB 2.25%

Official rates of the Federal Reserve and the ECB (deposit facility).

ATALORAug 10, 2026

Europe opens higher after Japan; Ethereum leads crypto with +0.8%

Europe opens with moderate upside: Nikkei gained 1.9% (close) following Bank of Japan policy signals, and European bourses follow suit with advances up to 1.1% (German DAX). In crypto, Ethereum stands out at +0.8% and Bitcoin rises 0.5%, while Brent edges down slightly (-0.2%) and WTI falls 0.4%. Gold holds steady with a small gain (+0.2%). The dollar strengthens against the euro (-0.04%) in a quiet session ahead of key economic data.

BOJAug 9, 2026

Bank of Japan Summarizes Opinions from Monetary Policy Meeting

The Bank of Japan held its monetary policy meeting on July 30 and 31, 2026. The institution compiled a summary of opinions expressed by board members during the gathering. The document serves as an official record of the discussions and positions held by authorities regarding the direction of Japanese monetary policy during that period.

ATALORAug 7, 2026

Wall Street closes with modest gains; Palantir jumps 10%

Wall Street closes with modest gains in a session marked by low volatility. The Nasdaq rises 1.0%, the S&P 500 advances 0.5%, and the Dow Jones climbs 0.2%. Among standout performers, Palantir jumps 10.1%, ServiceNow surges 6.5%, and Uber gains 6.3%, while Visa (-1.9%) and Mastercard (-2.1%) retreat. In commodities, gold shines with +2.3% and Brent climbs 1.0%, as Bitcoin and Ethereum advance 0.6% and 0.4% respectively. The VIX closes nearly flat, reflecting calm conditions across markets.

Markets at a glance

quietnotablealert
US equities
+0.6%
Nasdaq
+1.3%
Dow Jones
+0.3%
VIX
15.2−4.2%
HY credit
271 bp−4 bp
IG credit
78 bp+0 bp
10y–2y curve
46 bp+2 bp
UST 10y
4.69%+6 bp
Dollar
119.7+0.0%
Oil
83.6+1.3%
Bitcoin
64,886+1.0%
Ether
1,913+0.6%
EUR/USD
1.156−0.0%
USD/JPY
157.8+0.0%
Fed Funds
3.63%+0 bp
Breadth
59% > 50d MA53% > 200d MA

What Semavor is

Semavor publishes a daily report on world markets in plain language: US, European and Asian equities, interest rates, government bonds, currencies, commodities and crypto. Every figure comes with an explanation of what it means and why it matters.

The analysis is generated from public market data, with no opinion and no recommendations — only what the data said that day. Every report is published in both Spanish and English.

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